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in this race, mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class in this election. that's youth turnout doesn't change among minority's despite the shifts in eligible voters. if this does get realize, let's say minority vote share goes up by couple of points, 26% as was in 2008 to 28% in 2012, and again if the white college graduate and minority support stays about the same, it means mitt romney would have to get north of 40-point margin among white working-class voters to actually win the election, to win the popular vote. so let's take look at where we are now based on a reasonable came out. it's the gold standard for polls. a pew research center. no one else -- no offense to anyone else in the room who has april. they really do it right. it's pretty reliable stuff. they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks tradition as among likely voters that obama is leading now by eight points. if you look at the average of the national polls as a bit high relative to the average. the average has been running about four-point. if you look at
candidate mitt romney and president obama will both address attendees at the clinton global initiative today. the meeting begins sunday with leaders in business and philanthropy. and secretary of state hillary clinton spoke monday. this year's meeting addressed poverty, health and the apartment. we will bring in mitt romney's remarks live at nine eastern here on c-span2. than president obama's address to the clinton global initiative at noon eastern on c-span. >> new york representative bob turner and former new york city mayor ed koch last week talked about the jewish vote in the upcoming november presidential election. former mayor koch has been a vocal critic of president obama's policy toward israel. he still supports the president. but also discuss the wars in iraq and afghanistan and u.s. relations with the middle east. from fordham university law school in new york, this is about an hour and a half. >> we are here again once again in connection with this conference dedicated to examining the 2012 presidential election, and the way it may be being shaped by the memory of the holocaust
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